LISBON, Portugal — Event date: 2026-01-18. Portugal’s presidential race is headed to a runoff after André Ventura, the hard-right leader of the Chega party, finished second in the first round of voting and set up a February contest with Socialist candidate António José Seguro.

With almost all votes counted, Seguro led the field with about 31% while Ventura took roughly 24%, according to near-complete results. No candidate approached the majority required to win outright, which means the race will now shift to a second round on Feb. 8 between the top two finishers.

Ventura’s result was a significant breakthrough for Portugal’s hard-right movement. Chega, the party he founded less than seven years ago, has already become the second-largest force in parliament, and Sunday’s performance showed that its appeal now extends beyond legislative politics into a contest for the presidency. Ventura has built his campaign around harsh anti-immigration rhetoric and claims that Portugal is being changed too quickly by foreign workers.

Seguro, by contrast, entered the runoff as the standard-bearer of the center-left Socialist camp. The first round produced a divided field of 11 candidates, none of whom came close to a first-round victory. That fragmentation is part of what gave Ventura room to rise. It also left the election with an unusually open political feel for a country where the president is largely a figurehead but still important.

The office matters because presidents can veto legislation, influence political debate and even dissolve parliament. In a country that has been through repeated elections and rising political uncertainty, the next head of state will also be expected to help steady the system. That responsibility now falls to the runoff, where the choice between Seguro and Ventura will carry meaning far beyond ceremonial protocol.

The broader setting is a shifting European political landscape. Ventura’s strong showing fits the wider rise of nationalist, anti-immigration parties across the continent. In Portugal, however, voters also remain focused on housing and the cost of living, issues that cut across ideological lines and may shape the runoff more than the culture-war themes that defined the first round.

The race will also decide who occupies the symbolic “pink palace” on Lisbon’s riverside. But the contest is about more than a building. It will indicate whether Portugal’s traditional center-left and center-right blocs can still dominate the state’s highest office, or whether the hard right can turn a parliamentary breakthrough into a national one.